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1 – @AndreasSteno: We have just been through the season where the BLS overstates inflation and are now approaching the season where they understate it Happens more or less every year and the actual numbers get way too much attention. Warsh needs to fix this.

2 – @StephenMoore: The reason homes are expensive? Regulations. Regulatory costs have soared 40% since 2001 and now top $130,000 per home. If we’re serious about tackling America’s housing crunch, let’s cut the red tape!

3 – @Barchart: Hedge Funds dumped tech stocks last week at the fastest pace in AT LEAST a decade 🚨

4 – @LizAnnSonders: Share of consumers citing an erosion in their living standards due to higher prices rose to 57% in November, matching May’s record reading, according to latest @UMich Consumer Sentiment Survey

5 – @EricBalchunas: ETF investors didn’t just buy the dip, they DEVOURED it, about $12b/day in flows past 5 days with the top 17 ETFs all being equity (not sure i’ve ever seen that). Vanguardians and degens are very dif ppl playing very dif games but they def agree on one thing: you buy the dip.

6 – @HedgeyeDJ: Anthropic updated valuation:

7 – @BlakeMillardCFA: Here come the big boys. Corporate repurchases are set to return as the Q3 earnings blackout window expires.

8 –@schaeffers: ETF seasonality, 1 year later. Tech, the floor is yours (no pun intended)

9 – @zerohedge: Is The AI Puke Finally Over? JPMorgan Says Capitulation Is “Far Along” And Tells Clients To Buy…

10 – @AndreasSteno: That is 10bn of run-rate added in October alone, a pace I cannot find a precedent for in software, and one very few companies of any kind have ever matched, even in inflation-adjusted dollars. It is also the fastest climb from 1bn to 75bn in corporate history, as we showed last week.

11 – @mtkonczal: Food and energy came in hot. But if you exclude that, goods came in hot. But if you exclude that, shelter came in hot. But if you exclude that, the rest of core non-housing services came in hot. If you exclude that, then, well, there’s nothing left.

12 – @carlquintanilla: MORGAN STANLEY: We believe the market’s reaction to midterms “is overdone and outline a ‘buy the drop’ strategy as only ~20% or 5GW of US projects are likely to be delayed from 2028 to 2029.”

13 – @TimmerFidelity: Here’s a look at the drawdowns in the AI space. The GS AI basket is down 30% from its high, but there are plenty of names which are down much more than that. The ex-AI half of the market has been the relative winner during this rotation, but there’s a lot more cap on the AI side and that affects the overall index. When 10 stocks are 40% of the market, those 10 stocks will drive much of the beta.

14 – @LizAnnSonders: According to Bloomberg, mentions of “inflation” or “inflationary” on S&P 500 earnings calls jumped to 820 in October, the highest monthly total since February 2024 … industrial companies accounted for a quarter of those mentions, followed by the Materials sector

15 – @charliebilello: US Home Prices fell 0.4% over the past year, the first YoY decline since 2023.

16 – @KevRGordon: S&P 500’s forward P/E has contracted by 4.58 points over the past year … prior times (back to 2000) we’ve seen this kind of drawdown or worse: 2001-2003 2008 2018 2022-2023

17 – @AndreasSteno: Transportation services remains the big culprit here (energy driven, but a part of core inflation), and then the drop in energy prices was backloaded in October. Not much to see here to be honest. Still energy driven imho, and we know that the tide has turned markedly into November. Better times ahead on inflation now.

18 – @carlquintanilla: B of A: “.. The Fed’s inflation miss is worse than you think. .. Had inflation been above target for just a year or two, we think the Fed could have accepted 2-2.5% PCE inflation as “good enough” .. But with a large overshoot that’s coming up on six years ..” 👀 #CPI

19 – @Barchart: Goldman Sachs Panic Index had its largest 2-day spike IN HISTORY last week 👀 👻

20 – @zerohedge: Record inflows into levered ETFs: Last week, the S&P 500 sold off by (2.7%), marking the worst weekly percentage drop since April 2025. Despite the volatility and net losses on the week, retail investors stepped in to buy the dip. According to Goldman, on Thursday, leveraged ETFs, which are popular with the retail segment, received record inflows of +$3.3bn. SOXL, a Semiconductor-focused 3X leverage ETF, attracted +$5.1bn in 5-day net inflows, capturing most of the positive buying in the leveraged category; other beneficiaries included TQQQ, SNXX, GDXU and NVDL Across all U.S. equities, the retail imbalance remained positive for the week at +$5.7bn, representing a weekly net buy imbalance of +1.1%. However, Monday saw a net sell skew of ($0.7bn)

Here is a complete list of current S&P 500 stocks and their historical performance on November 11 for every year since 2010 with available data. The attached screenshot highlights the qualifying stocks from the Excel workbook’s Overview sheet.

The full dataset, including all stocks currently within the S&P 500 index and historical observations, is available in the Excel file linked below.

sp500_positive_on_given_days_exact_only

Note: This stock list is published every trading day, regardless of whether we identify stocks that meet our highest conviction standards. The objective is to highlight stocks with the strongest historical positivity rate for that specific calendar date. It is intended as a supporting research tool for active traders and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

The portfolio’s average historical performance is provided solely for reference to illustrate how the group has performed collectively on that date in the past. Historical performance does not guarantee future results, and not every day’s list represents a high-conviction opportunity. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

For investors seeking our highest-conviction ideas, Premium Plus members receive access to our Berry Picks model portfolio under the Model Portfolio section. Berry Picks are selected from more than 30 proprietary research themes, with preference given to stocks that consistently appear across the greatest number of themes.

None of the stocks listed constitute investment advice.

Following yesterday’s rally of more than 2%, market breadth improved significantly. The S&P 500 Advance-Decline Percent Index surged to 68.6%, its highest level in more than six months, suggesting that the rally was supported by broad participation rather than just a handful of mega-cap stocks.

Historically, this has been a constructive signal. Since 2010, when the S&P 500’s advance-decline percentage crossed above 65% for the first time in at least six weeks, the index was higher three weeks later in 12 of the previous 13 cases. The average three-week gain was 1.8%.

This supports our base case that the weakens is coming to an end. However, as discussed in our Weekly Outlook and our previous article, we are still hesitant to declare that last Thursday marked the final bottom. We believe the bottom is near, but another move lower remains possible by next Thursday before a more sustainable rally begins.

The improving market breadth strengthens our bullish intermediate term outlook, even if short-term downside risks towards 7300-7250 have not entirely disappeared.

The ratio of the market-weighted S&P 500 to the equal-weighted S&P 500 has dropped to a key support area. If that support holds, it could mark a favorable point for intermediate- to long-term investors to increase exposure to mega-cap and momentum-heavy names, including the largest weights in the index.

That said, we are still not ready to say with confidence that last Thursday’s low was the final bottom. Our view remains that the low is likely near, and if it has not already formed, it may be established by next Thursday at the latest. It is because of the below stat we also discussed earlier in our outlook for the week.

The S&P 500 took 22 trading days to decline more than 5% from its October 6 all-time high.

Among the 17 completed historical episodes, 12 of 17 cases established their eventual bottom within 10 trading days of the initial 5% pullback. For longer-term investors, that timing issue may not matter much. But for short-term traders, we still see a few reasons to stay tactically cautious.

First, the S&P 500 remains below a downward-sloping trend line that has capped rallies since October. A convincing break above that trend line would improve the technical picture. At a minimum, we would like to see the index reclaim the November 5 open, which appears to align closely with that resistance zone.

Second, QQQ also ran into resistance. Despite the strong bounce, it failed to break decisively above its 200-day moving average and also stalled near the November 5 open. Until that area is cleared, it is difficult to argue that downside pressure is fully behind us.

Third, the latest rally came on relatively light volume in both SPY and QQQ. Strong rebounds are more convincing when supported by heavier participation. Without that, it is harder to treat the move as a high-conviction bottoming signal.

The bigger-picture setup for large-cap leadership is becoming more attractive, but tactically, we still need confirmation. Either a breakout above key resistance or a final retest that successfully holds would make us more confident that a durable low is in place.